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2021/04/14

Singapore maintains financial coverage on maintain amid patchy recovery

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SINGAPORE (Reuters) -Singapore's financial institution kept monetary policy settings unchanged on Wednesday and said the accommodative stance was appropriate thanks to a benign inflation outlook and global economic uncertainties caused by the pandemic.

The Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) was, however, more upbeat about official 2021 growth projections while data showed the economy unexpectedly growing within the half-moon from a year earlier.

The financial institution manages monetary policy through rate of exchange settings, instead of interest rates, letting the local dollar rise or fall against the currencies of its main trading partners within an undisclosed band.

Barring a setback to the worldwide recovery, Singapore's economy is probably going to exceed the upper end of the official 4–6% forecast range, the MAS said. But the sectors worst hit by the crisis will still face significant demand shortfalls, it added.


"As core inflation is anticipated to remain low this yr, MAS assesses that an accommodative coverage stance stays suitable," the financial institution stated in its announcement. Singapore's dollar strengthened 0.2% after the policy decision and better-than-expected gross domestic product (GDP) data.

The MAS expects core inflation, its preferred price gauge in setting monetary policy, to rise only gradually for the remainder of the year and are available at 0%–1% in 2021. However, it raised its forecast range for headline inflation to 0.5 to 1.5% from −0.5 to 0.5% previously.

The financial institution adjusts its policy via three levers: the slope, mid-point, and width of the policy band, referred to as the Nominal Effective rate of exchange, or S$NEER.

On Wednesday, the MAS said it might maintain a zero percent once a year rate of appreciation of the policy band. The width of the policy band and therefore the level at which it's centered is going to be unchanged.

All 15 economists polled by using Reuters had forecast the MAS would keep its coverage unchanged.

"As such, persistent weakness within the aviation and retail and hospitality sector will twiddling my thumbs the recovery," said Alex Holmes, an economist at Capital Economics. He expects policy settings to stay unchanged for a minimum of the subsequent years.

GDP ticked up zero.2% in January-March on a yr-on-12 months foundation, reliable statistics confirmed on Wednesday, surprising economists who had expected a zero.2% decline.

Singapore, which has brought its local virus situation in check and is rolling out vaccinations, is on a gradual recovery path after its worst-ever recession last year. But analysts say external demand and therefore the reopening of international borders are key to growth.

"The domestic demand recovery is firming much stronger than what we've been expecting," said Lee Ju Ye, an economist at Maybank Kim Eng. She said there was a little possibility the financial institution may tighten at its next policy review in October if the recovery gains momentum and inflation devour.

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